SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | River Plate |
33.3% ( 5.34) | 26.46% ( -0.52) | 40.24% ( -4.83) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 3.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.51% ( 3.91) | 52.48% ( -3.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( 3.25) | 74.15% ( -3.25) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 5.87) | 29.71% ( -5.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% ( 6.58) | 65.77% ( -6.58) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( -0.71) | 25.64% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( -0.98) | 60.53% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 1.06)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.88)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.82)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.64)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.53)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.35)Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -1.25)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.63)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( -1.96) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -1.5)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.76)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.23% |
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