SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | La Luz |
44.39% ( 0.18) | 27.36% ( 0.1) | 28.25% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.33% ( -0.5) | 57.66% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.57% ( -0.4) | 78.42% ( 0.4) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( -0.13) | 25.84% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.18% ( -0.18) | 60.81% ( 0.18) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( -0.49) | 36.04% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% ( -0.51) | 72.82% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.25% |
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