SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Cerro Largo |
31.93% ( 0.01) | 29.28% ( -0.02) | 38.78% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.91% ( 0.07) | 63.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.47% ( 0.05) | 82.53% ( -0.05) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% ( 0.04) | 36.16% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( 0.04) | 72.94% ( -0.04) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( 0.04) | 31.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( 0.05) | 67.98% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.27% | 0-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 38.78% |
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