SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | River Plate |
| 34.77% | 28.13% ( -0.02) | 37.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.25% ( 0.09) | 58.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.72% ( 0.07) | 79.27% ( -0.08) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( 0.05) | 31.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% ( 0.05) | 68.35% ( -0.06) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( 0.06) | 30.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( 0.07) | 66.63% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.09% |
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