Progreso
1 - 0
River Plate

Olaizola (2')
Barboza (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brunelli (7'), Bonifazi (44'), Arezo (51'), Rodriguez (74'), Pablo Plada Ricci (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Progreso	Draw	River Plate
33.53%	27.69%	38.78%

Both teams to score 48.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72%

57.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88%

78.13%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02%

31.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56%

68.45%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29%

28.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46%

64.54%

Score Analysis

Progreso 33.52%

River Plate 38.77%

Draw 27.69%

Progreso	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.52%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 11.45% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.77%