Sud America
1 - 1
Penarol

Andrade (74' pen.)
Rodriguez (59'), Triunfo (63'), Etchebarne (81'), Caballero (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ceppelini (37' pen.)
Rodriguez (72'), Gargano (78'), Pereira (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Sud America and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sud America had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Sud America win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Sud America	Draw	Penarol
17.6%	22.93%	59.48%

Both teams to score 47.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.21%

50.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.32%

72.68%

Sud America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.44%

42.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.08%

78.92%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27%

16.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.36%

46.64%

Score Analysis

Sud America 17.6%

Penarol 59.48%

Draw 22.92%

Sud America	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 6.08% 2-1 @ 4.65% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-1 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.6%	1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 12.73% 0-2 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 5.79% 0-4 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.48% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 1.08% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.85% Total : 59.48%