SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
59.12% ( 0.24) | 22.04% ( -0.06) | 18.84% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( -0.04) | 45.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.04) | 67.6% ( 0.04) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.05% ( 0.07) | 14.95% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.64% ( 0.12) | 43.36% ( -0.12) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( -0.23) | 37.87% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.36% ( -0.22) | 74.64% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.03% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 18.84% |
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