SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Portland Timbers |
54.28% ( -0.05) | 24.04% ( 0.02) | 21.69% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( -0.05) | 49.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( -0.05) | 71.94% ( 0.05) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( -0.04) | 18.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.61% ( -0.07) | 49.39% ( 0.07) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% | 37.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.62% ( 0) | 74.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.69% |
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