SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
31.5% ( 0.41) | 23.23% ( -0.42) | 45.27% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( 1.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.4% ( 2.21) | 38.6% ( -2.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.1% ( 2.3) | 60.9% ( -2.29) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( 1.33) | 24.07% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.65% ( 1.85) | 58.35% ( -1.85) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( 0.88) | 17.44% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.11% ( 1.51) | 47.89% ( -1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.5% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.45)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.56)0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.01% Total : 45.27% |
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