SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
40.88% ( -0.09) | 25.28% ( -0.16) | 33.84% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( 0.78) | 47.31% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( 0.72) | 69.53% ( -0.73) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( 0.3) | 23% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.2% ( 0.44) | 56.79% ( -0.44) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( 0.53) | 26.85% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( 0.7) | 62.16% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.84% |
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