SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | The New Saints |
16.34% ( -3.69) | 20.3% ( -1.82) | 63.35% ( 5.51) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( 2.16) | 41.72% ( -2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% ( 2.15) | 64.13% ( -2.15) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( -2.87) | 38.68% ( 2.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.58% ( -2.83) | 75.42% ( 2.83) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( 2.36) | 12.53% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.43% ( 4.7) | 38.56% ( -4.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.87) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.81)2-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.63)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.4)Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.34% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.87) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.3% | 0-2 @ 10.45% ( 0.78) 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.24% ( 1.1)1-3 @ 6.87% ( 0.57)0-4 @ 3.76% ( 0.84)1-4 @ 3.57% ( 0.57)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.16)0-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.45)1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.34)Other @ 3.46% Total : 63.34% |
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