Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.06) 
