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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
36.93% ( 0.01) | 25.46% ( -0) | 37.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( 0.01) | 47.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 0.01) | 69.96% ( -0.01) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( 0.01) | 25.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( 0.02) | 60.03% ( -0.02) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( -0) | 24.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.47% ( -0) | 59.53% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.6% |
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