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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
61.66% ( -2.46) | 21.48% ( 1.09) | 16.86% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( -2.28) | 46.04% ( 2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( -2.19) | 68.34% ( 2.19) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.6% ( -1.46) | 14.4% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.69% ( -2.91) | 42.3% ( 2.9) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.36) | 40.65% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( 0.32) | 77.24% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.35)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.43)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.86% |
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