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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
30.79% ( -1.31) | 22.33% ( 0.19) | 46.88% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.48% ( -1.65) | 34.51% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.55% ( -1.88) | 56.45% ( 1.87) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( -1.54) | 22.49% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( -2.34) | 56.04% ( 2.33) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.24) | 15.26% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.05% ( -0.44) | 43.95% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.25% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.88% |
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