SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Barry Town United |
33.13% ( -0.04) | 22.98% ( -0.06) | 43.88% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 64.37% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.31) | 36.71% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.13% ( 0.34) | 58.87% ( -0.34) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0.13) | 22.23% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( 0.19) | 55.65% ( -0.19) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( 0.16) | 17.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.46% ( 0.29) | 47.53% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 33.13% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 43.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
