SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Newtown AFC |
39.88% ( -0.07) | 24.06% ( 0.08) | 36.06% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.39) | 41.27% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.39) | 63.67% ( 0.4) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( -0.2) | 20.86% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.44% ( -0.32) | 53.56% ( 0.33) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -0.17) | 22.77% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( -0.27) | 56.46% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 39.88% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.06% |
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