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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
4 - 0
Aberystwyth

Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
51.31%24.6%24.08%
Both teams to score 52.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12%49.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13%71.87%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57%19.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74%51.26%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68%35.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92%72.08%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 51.31%
    Aberystwyth Town 24.08%
    Draw 24.6%
Pen-y-BontDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 9.21%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.14%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.08%

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