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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.5%. A win for Newtown AFC has a probability of 22.13% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.18%) and 0-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win is 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.67%).
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
22.13% ( -0) | 21.36% | 56.5% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.43% ( -0) | 37.57% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.2% ( -0) | 59.8% ( 0) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( -0) | 30.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( -0) | 66.39% ( 0) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% ( -0) | 13.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.04% ( -0) | 39.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 5.79% 1-0 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.93% Total : 22.14% | 1-1 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 3.99% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.6% 0-3 @ 5.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.95% 1-4 @ 3.34% 0-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 2% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.77% Total : 56.5% |
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