Caernarfon
3 - 3
Bala Town

Faux (49'), Bradley (71'), Jones (84')
Donohue (37')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ebbe (14', 44'), Evans (86')
Smith (90'), Evans (90+3')

Data Analysis

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Bala Town
19.23%	21.13%	59.63%

Both teams to score 56.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.41%

40.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.03%

62.97%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.28%

34.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.55%

71.45%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.74%

13.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.95%

40.05%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 19.23%

Bala Town 59.63%

Draw 21.13%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Bala Town
2-1 @ 5.21% 1-0 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.23%	1-1 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 5.26% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-3 @ 6.7% 0-3 @ 6.33% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 3.38% 0-4 @ 3.2% 2-4 @ 1.79% 1-5 @ 1.37% 0-5 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.4% Total : 59.63%