Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
