Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
