Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
