Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 80.97%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 6.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.34%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
