Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff MU | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
25.53% ( -0.34) | 27.09% ( 0.05) | 47.38% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.81% ( -0.37) | 58.19% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.16% ( -0.29) | 78.84% ( 0.29) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.38% ( -0.51) | 38.62% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.64% ( -0.48) | 75.36% ( 0.48) |
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( -0.03) | 24.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( -0.04) | 59.11% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff MU | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.53% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.38% |
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