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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
1 - 0
Barry

Ahmun (19' pen.)
Vaughan (42'), Ahmun (88')
Vaughan (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sainty (18'), McLaggon (22'), Tomlinson (58'), Hulbert (82'), Cotterill (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawBarry Town United
35.08% (-0.87 -0.87) 26.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 38.23% (0.886 0.89)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.19% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.75% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.535 -0.53)28.94% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.666 -0.67)64.82% (0.667 0.67)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.505 0.5)27.07% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (0.65799999999999 0.66)62.44% (-0.656 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 35.08%
    Barry Town United 38.22%
    Draw 26.69%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.189 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Pontypridd
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 3-2 Flint Town
Saturday, April 22 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Pontypridd
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-2 Barry
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, August 19 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Barry
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Druids 1-0 Barry
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 0-1 Aberystwyth
Monday, April 18 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League


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