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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
43.19% ( 0.03) | 25.46% ( 0) | 31.35% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% ( -0.04) | 48.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.04) | 70.96% ( 0.04) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.01) | 22.55% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( -0.01) | 56.14% ( 0) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( -0.04) | 29.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( -0.05) | 65.15% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.19% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.35% |
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