Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
27.88% ( -0.16) | 25.61% ( 0.05) | 46.51% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.84% ( -0.29) | 51.16% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( -0.25) | 73.01% ( 0.25) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( -0.28) | 32.87% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( -0.31) | 69.44% ( 0.31) |
Bala Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% ( -0.07) | 21.99% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% ( -0.1) | 55.3% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff MU | Draw | Bala Town |
1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 27.88% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.5% |
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