SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Cardiff MU |
44.43% ( 0.01) | 26.46% ( -0.03) | 29.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% ( 0.14) | 53.89% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% ( 0.12) | 75.35% ( -0.12) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( 0.07) | 24.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( 0.1) | 58.45% ( -0.1) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( 0.1) | 33.37% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( 0.1) | 69.99% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.11% |
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