Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
