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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.22%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
14.64% ( 0.34) | 21.17% ( 0.19) | 64.18% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% ( -0.09) | 48.74% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% ( -0.09) | 70.85% ( 0.09) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.43) | 45.22% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.89% ( 0.34) | 81.11% ( -0.34) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( -0.19) | 14.49% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.52% ( -0.38) | 42.48% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.64% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 12.22% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.87% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.8% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.2% 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 64.17% |
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