SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
39.4% ( -0.12) | 24.63% ( 0.02) | 35.97% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.07) | 44% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.07) | 66.39% ( 0.07) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.09) | 22.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( -0.13) | 55.74% ( 0.13) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( 0.02) | 24.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.65% ( 0.03) | 58.35% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.4% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 35.97% |
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