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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
43.28% ( -0.05) | 25.7% ( -0.01) | 31.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.06) | 50.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.05) | 72% ( -0.06) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( 0) | 23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( 0) | 56.81% ( -0.01) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( 0.07) | 30.01% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.87% ( 0.08) | 66.13% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.28% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.01% |
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