Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
