SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff MU in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
30.47% ( 0.04) | 26.34% ( 0.04) | 43.18% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.15% ( -0.17) | 52.85% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( -0.14) | 74.47% ( 0.15) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( -0.06) | 31.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( -0.07) | 68.26% ( 0.07) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( -0.12) | 24.29% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.34% ( -0.17) | 58.66% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.47% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
