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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Newtown AFC |
54.27% ( -6.12) | 22.92% ( 1.55) | 22.81% ( 4.56) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( 2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% ( -0.75) | 43.95% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% ( -0.73) | 66.34% ( 0.73) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( -2.24) | 16.12% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.46% ( -4.26) | 45.54% ( 4.26) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 4.13) | 33.19% ( -4.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( 4.31) | 69.8% ( -4.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 8.91% ( -1.19)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.58)3-0 @ 5.42% ( -1.23)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.51)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.81)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.28)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.39)Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.51)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.97) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.8)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.74)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.55)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.81% |
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