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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Newtown AFC |
37.87% ( -0.08) | 25.15% ( -0.06) | 36.97% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( 0.27) | 46.35% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( 0.25) | 68.63% ( -0.25) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.08) | 24.11% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( 0.12) | 58.4% ( -0.12) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( 0.2) | 24.6% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( 0.27) | 59.1% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.87% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.97% |
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