SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Flint Town United |
66.72% ( -0.05) | 18.43% ( 0.03) | 14.85% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.05% ( -0.09) | 35.95% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.96% ( -0.1) | 58.04% ( 0.1) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.02% ( -0.03) | 9.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.02% ( -0.08) | 32.97% ( 0.08) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( -0.03) | 36.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( -0.03) | 73.76% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.14% Total : 66.72% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.43% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.14% Total : 14.85% |
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