SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
37.42% ( -0.49) | 24.79% ( -0.04) | 37.8% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( 0.19) | 44.65% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% ( 0.19) | 67.01% ( -0.19) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( -0.17) | 23.58% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.35% ( -0.25) | 57.65% ( 0.25) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.37) | 23.38% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( 0.53) | 57.36% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.42% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.8% |
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