SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
16.09% ( -0.01) | 20.9% ( 0) | 63.01% |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.03) | 44.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.02) | 67.25% ( 0.02) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% ( -0.02) | 40.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.51% ( -0.02) | 77.49% ( 0.02) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.38% ( -0.01) | 13.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.23% ( -0.02) | 40.77% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.43% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.22% 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.09% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.46% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 63% |
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