SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 10.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Barry Town United |
74.39% ( 0.28) | 15.57% ( -0.14) | 10.04% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.17% ( 0.26) | 34.83% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.2% ( 0.29) | 56.8% ( -0.29) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.04% ( 0.12) | 7.96% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.91% ( 0.31) | 28.09% ( -0.31) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.16% ( -0.08) | 43.84% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.01% ( -0.07) | 79.99% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 74.39% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.57% | 1-2 @ 3% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.04% |
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