Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Druids had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Druids win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
