SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
34.97% ( 0.08) | 24.88% ( -0.03) | 40.15% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% ( 0.15) | 45.32% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% ( 0.14) | 67.66% ( -0.14) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.12) | 25.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( 0.16) | 59.99% ( -0.15) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( 0.04) | 22.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.95% ( 0.06) | 56.05% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.97% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.15% |
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