Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
