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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
3 - 1
Caernarfon

Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Williams (44'), Hunt (51'), Rees (86'), Woodiwiss (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thomas (60')
Gosset (31'), Cartwright (39'), Donohue (44'), Hughes (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-2 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
56.84% (0.371 0.37) 23.18% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 19.98% (-0.304 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.13% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (-0.111 -0.11)48.48% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.38% (-0.105 -0.11)70.61% (0.102 0.1)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.088000000000008 0.09)16.83% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17% (0.159 0.16)46.83% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.383 -0.38)38.51% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.369 -0.37)75.26% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 56.84%
    Caernarfon Town 19.98%
    Draw 23.17%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 56.84%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 19.98%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-2 New Saints
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-0 Pontypridd
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-2 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Clyde 1-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Airbus UK
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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