Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
56.84% ( 0.37) | 23.18% ( -0.07) | 19.98% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.51% ( -0.11) | 48.48% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.38% ( -0.11) | 70.61% ( 0.1) |
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.16% ( 0.09) | 16.83% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.17% ( 0.16) | 46.83% ( -0.16) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.49% ( -0.38) | 38.51% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.74% ( -0.37) | 75.26% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 56.84% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.98% |
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