Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Caernarfon Town
44.57% ( -0)	25.51%	29.92% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.95% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3%

49.69% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29%

71.71%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

-0)

22.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3%

55.7%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

30.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

66.84% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 44.56%

Caernarfon Town 29.92%

Draw 25.5%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Caernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.56%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.92%