Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Haverfordwest

O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Donohue (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
47.34% ( 0.47)	23.29% ( -0.1)	29.36% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 61.2% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.98% (

0.25)

40.02% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.61% (

0.26)

62.38% (

-0.26)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

0.28)

17.18% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.55% (

0.49)

47.45% (

-0.49)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

-0.12)

26.1% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

-0.16)

61.16% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 47.34%

Haverfordwest County 29.36%

Draw 23.29%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.06% Total : 47.34%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.36%