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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
33.79% ( -0.24) | 22.93% ( -0.09) | 43.27% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 64.81% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.77% ( 0.39) | 36.23% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.65% ( 0.42) | 58.34% ( -0.42) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.05) | 21.64% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( 0.08) | 54.76% ( -0.08) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( 0.29) | 17.28% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( 0.5) | 47.62% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.16% Total : 43.27% |
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