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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberystwyth Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
38.71% ( -0.05) | 26% ( 0.01) | 35.28% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.73% ( -0.02) | 50.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.78% ( -0.02) | 72.21% ( 0.02) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( -0.04) | 25.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( -0.05) | 60.27% ( 0.05) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( 0.02) | 27.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( 0.02) | 62.87% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.28% |
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