Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
UWA Sports Park A
Margetson (39')
Lewis (87'), Cummings (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Donohue (45+1'), Hughes (90+2'), Edwards (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Caernarfon Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
| Result |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 43.58% | 23.45% | 32.97% |
| Both teams to score 62.57% |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
Pontypridd Town AFC 43.58%
Caernarfon Town 32.97%
Draw 23.44%
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.58%
| 1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.44%
| 1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.97%
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