Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
